Bunny Hills
L1 3.0 amendment samdt2583-119

samdt2583-119

Amendment to: One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), 2025

Why China-relevant: an entity identified as a Chinese military company operating in the United States in accordance with section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021

Sponsor: Curtis, John R.

Timeline

  1. Filed
  2. Passed chamber (vote) [house]vehicle
  3. Passed chamber (vote) [senate]vehicle
  4. Sent to President vehicle
  5. Passed chamber (vote) [house]vehicle
  6. Became law vehicle

Vehicle: One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), 2025

  1. Introduced
  2. Passed committee
  3. Passed House
  4. Passed Senate
  5. Sent to President
  6. Became law

done next step still ahead

Stage: Became law

Resolved. Model had estimated 17% to become law

  • + Is/rides a must-pass vehicle (NDAA or appropriations)
  • + Sponsored by a member of the majority party
  • − No cosponsors

Legislative likelihood — a tracking indicator, not investment advice.

Signals — secondary, directional

PRC retaliation risk medium Hawkishness 1–5 4

Directional context (see Methodology); the pinned, high-confidence axes are relevance and asset impact.

Shares that might be influenced

Each sector shows a direction (which way its China-related names are pushed) and, for precise mappings, how hard this bill hits the sector — rated marginal → very strong (1–5). Hover any chip for its definition. The headline 0–5 impact is at the top of the card.

EV & Battery negative moderate (3/5) precise 486 names

FEOC/prohibited-foreign-entity sourcing and material-assistance rules can redirect clean-energy and storage supply-chain spending away from China-linked suppliers.

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
300750.SZ 宁德时代 CATL (Contemporary Amperex) 1260H
002594.SZ 比亚迪 BYD
300274.SZ 阳光电源 SUNGROW POWER SUPPLY
000338.SZ 潍柴动力 WEICHAI POWER
600930.SS 华电新能 华电新能
0175.HK 吉利汽车 Geely Automobile Holdings Limited
601985.SS 中国核电 CNNP
9973.HK 奇瑞汽车 Chery Automobile Co., Ltd.
002460.SZ 赣锋锂业 Ganfeng Lithium
001289.SZ 龙源电力 CHINA LONGYUAN
+476 more
China ADRs (Broad) negative modest (2/5) precise 286 names

Broad tax-credit eligibility restrictions modestly reduce opportunities for China-linked clean-energy firms and investors.

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
9988.HK 阿里巴巴-W Alibaba Group Holding Limited
9618.HK 京东集团-SW JD.com, Inc.
9961.HK 携程集团-S Trip.com Group Limited
2057.HK 中通快递-W ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
PDD 拼多多 PDD Holdings (ADR)
9987.HK 百胜中国 Yum China Holdings, Inc.
1179.HK 华住集团-S H World Group Limited
9901.HK 新东方-S NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC.
2076.HK BOSS直聘-W KANZHUN LIMITED
9896.HK 名创优品 MINISO Group Holding Limited
+276 more