Bunny Hills
L1 3.0 amendment samdt3275-118

samdt3275-118

Amendment to: FY2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA, Senate vehicle)

Why China-relevant: COUNTERING CCP DRONES. (a) Determination of Whether Unmanned Aircraft Systems Manufacturers Are Chinese Military Companies.

Sponsor: Scott, Rick

Timeline

  1. Filed

Vehicle: FY2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA, Senate vehicle)

  1. Introduced
  2. Passed committee
  3. Passed Senate
  4. Passed House
  5. Sent to President
  6. Became law

done next step still ahead did not advance

Stage: Died in the 118th Congress

Resolved. Model had estimated 18% to become law

  • + Is/rides a must-pass vehicle (NDAA or appropriations)
  • + Sponsored by a member of the majority party
  • − No cosponsors

Legislative likelihood — a tracking indicator, not investment advice.

Signals — secondary, directional

PRC retaliation risk medium Hawkishness 1–5 4

Directional context (see Methodology); the pinned, high-confidence axes are relevance and asset impact.

Shares that might be influenced

Each sector shows a direction (which way its China-related names are pushed) and, for precise mappings, how hard this bill hits the sector — rated marginal → very strong (1–5). Hover any chip for its definition. The headline 0–5 impact is at the top of the card.

5G / Telecom negative moderate (3/5) precise 131 names

Drone and connected-device restrictions pressure China-linked hardware vendors.

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
600941.SS 中国移动 CHINA MOBILE NS-CMIC
300308.SZ 中际旭创 ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT
300502.SZ 新易盛 EOPTOLINK
601728.SS 中国电信 China Telecom NS-CMIC
601869.SS 长飞光纤 YOFC
000063.SZ 中兴通讯 ZTE
600487.SS 亨通光电 HTGD
002281.SZ 光迅科技 ACCELINK
300442.SZ 润泽科技 RANGE TECHNOLOGY
600522.SS 中天科技 ZTT
+121 more
China ADRs (Broad) negative modest (2/5) precise 286 names

Direct Chinese military-company scrutiny raises broader sanctions/procurement risk sentiment.

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
9988.HK 阿里巴巴-W Alibaba Group Holding Limited
9618.HK 京东集团-SW JD.com, Inc.
9961.HK 携程集团-S Trip.com Group Limited
2057.HK 中通快递-W ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
PDD 拼多多 PDD Holdings (ADR)
9987.HK 百胜中国 Yum China Holdings, Inc.
1179.HK 华住集团-S H World Group Limited
9901.HK 新东方-S NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC.
2076.HK BOSS直聘-W KANZHUN LIMITED
9896.HK 名创优品 MINISO Group Holding Limited
+276 more

Named unlisted entities (read-across to listed proxies)

Shenzhen DJI Innovation Technology Co., Ltd. private 1260HEntityList
688208.SS listed drone/UAS peer (Autel)