Bunny Hills
L1 3.0 amendment samdt3033-118

samdt3033-118

Amendment to: FY2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA, Senate vehicle)

Why China-relevant: The importation of electric vehicles manufactured in the People's Republic of China, or by an entity organized under the laws of or otherwise subject to the jurisdiction of the People's Republic of China, is prohibited.

Sponsor: Brown, Sherrod

Timeline

  1. Filed

Vehicle: FY2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA, Senate vehicle)

  1. Introduced
  2. Passed committee
  3. Passed Senate
  4. Passed House
  5. Sent to President
  6. Became law

done next step still ahead did not advance

Stage: Died in the 118th Congress

Resolved. Model had estimated 18% to become law

  • + Is/rides a must-pass vehicle (NDAA or appropriations)
  • + Sponsored by a member of the majority party
  • − No cosponsors

Legislative likelihood — a tracking indicator, not investment advice.

Signals — secondary, directional

PRC retaliation risk medium Hawkishness 1–5 4

Directional context (see Methodology); the pinned, high-confidence axes are relevance and asset impact.

Shares that might be influenced

Each sector shows a direction (which way its China-related names are pushed) and, for precise mappings, how hard this bill hits the sector — rated marginal → very strong (1–5). Hover any chip for its definition. The headline 0–5 impact is at the top of the card.

EV & Battery negative strong (4/5) precise 486 names

A statutory PRC EV import ban would directly restrict Chinese EV market access.

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
300750.SZ 宁德时代 CATL (Contemporary Amperex) 1260H
002594.SZ 比亚迪 BYD
300274.SZ 阳光电源 SUNGROW POWER SUPPLY
000338.SZ 潍柴动力 WEICHAI POWER
600930.SS 华电新能 华电新能
0175.HK 吉利汽车 Geely Automobile Holdings Limited
601985.SS 中国核电 CNNP
9973.HK 奇瑞汽车 Chery Automobile Co., Ltd.
002460.SZ 赣锋锂业 Ganfeng Lithium
001289.SZ 龙源电力 CHINA LONGYUAN
+476 more
China ADRs (Broad) negative modest (2/5) precise 286 names

Broad China consumer/industrial ADR sentiment could be pressured by explicit import-ban policy.

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
9988.HK 阿里巴巴-W Alibaba Group Holding Limited
9618.HK 京东集团-SW JD.com, Inc.
9961.HK 携程集团-S Trip.com Group Limited
2057.HK 中通快递-W ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
PDD 拼多多 PDD Holdings (ADR)
9987.HK 百胜中国 Yum China Holdings, Inc.
1179.HK 华住集团-S H World Group Limited
9901.HK 新东方-S NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC.
2076.HK BOSS直聘-W KANZHUN LIMITED
9896.HK 名创优品 MINISO Group Holding Limited
+276 more