samdt2923-118
Amendment to: FY2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA, Senate vehicle)
Why China-relevant: the Secretary of the Treasury shall include on the Non-SDN Chinese Military- Industrial Complex Companies List maintained by the Office of Foreign Assets Control
Timeline
- Filed
Vehicle: FY2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA, Senate vehicle)
- Introduced
- Passed committee
- Passed Senate
- Passed House
- Sent to President
- Became law
done next step still ahead did not advance
Resolved. Model had estimated 18% to become law
- + Is/rides a must-pass vehicle (NDAA or appropriations)
- + Sponsored by a member of the majority party
- − No cosponsors
Legislative likelihood — a tracking indicator, not investment advice.
Signals — secondary, directional
Directional context (see Methodology); the pinned, high-confidence axes are relevance and asset impact.
Shares that might be influenced
Each sector shows a direction (which way its China-related names are pushed) and, for precise mappings, how hard this bill hits the sector — rated marginal → very strong (1–5). Hover any chip for its definition. The headline 0–5 impact is at the top of the card.
NS-CMIC and SDN designations directly restrict securities/investment and sanction China-linked aerospace/surveillance entities.
| Ticker | Name (Local) | Name (EN) | Restriction Lists |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9988.HK | 阿里巴巴-W | Alibaba Group Holding Limited | |
| 9618.HK | 京东集团-SW | JD.com, Inc. | |
| 9961.HK | 携程集团-S | Trip.com Group Limited | |
| 2057.HK | 中通快递-W | ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. | |
| PDD | 拼多多 | PDD Holdings (ADR) | |
| 9987.HK | 百胜中国 | Yum China Holdings, Inc. | |
| 1179.HK | 华住集团-S | H World Group Limited | |
| 9901.HK | 新东方-S | NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC. | |
| 2076.HK | BOSS直聘-W | KANZHUN LIMITED | |
| 9896.HK | 名创优品 | MINISO Group Holding Limited |
China electronics and surveillance technology sanctions have narrower technology-sector spillovers.
| Ticker | Name (Local) | Name (EN) | Restriction Lists |
|---|---|---|---|
| 688981.SS | 中芯国际 | SMIC (STAR) | 1260HNS-CMIC |
| 688256.SS | 寒武纪 | CAMBRICON | EntityList |
| 688041.SS | 海光信息 | HYGON | |
| 002371.SZ | 北方华创 | NAURA | EntityList |
| 688347.SS | 华虹公司 | H-GRACE | |
| 688820.SS | 盛合晶微 | SJ Semi | |
| 603986.SS | 兆易创新 | GigaDevice | |
| 688795.SS | 摩尔线程-U | 摩尔线程-U | |
| 688008.SS | 澜起科技 | Montage Technology | |
| 688012.SS | 中微公司 | AMEC |