Bunny Hills
L2 3.0 amendment samdt2473-118

samdt2473-118

Amendment to: FY2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA, Senate vehicle)

Why China-relevant: covered nation (as defined in section 4872(d)(2) of title 10, United States Code)

Sponsor: Rubio, Marco

Timeline

  1. Filed

Vehicle: FY2025 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA, Senate vehicle)

  1. Introduced
  2. Passed committee
  3. Passed Senate
  4. Passed House
  5. Sent to President
  6. Became law

done next step still ahead did not advance

Stage: Died in the 118th Congress

Resolved. Model had estimated 18% to become law

  • + Is/rides a must-pass vehicle (NDAA or appropriations)
  • + Sponsored by a member of the majority party
  • − No cosponsors

Legislative likelihood — a tracking indicator, not investment advice.

Signals — secondary, directional

PRC retaliation risk medium Hawkishness 1–5 3

Directional context (see Methodology); the pinned, high-confidence axes are relevance and asset impact.

Shares that might be influenced

Each sector shows a direction (which way its China-related names are pushed) and, for precise mappings, how hard this bill hits the sector — rated marginal → very strong (1–5). Hover any chip for its definition. The headline 0–5 impact is at the top of the card.

China Financials negative coarse 359 names

domain 'finance' -> china_finance via stock_mapping.yaml (coarse fallback)

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
601939.SS 建设银行 CCB
601398.SS 工商银行 ICBC
0005.HK 汇丰控股 HSBC Holdings
601288.SS 农业银行 AGRICULTURAL BANK OF CHINA
601988.SS 中国银行 Bank of China
601318.SS 中国平安 Ping An Insurance
601628.SS 中国人寿 China Life
600036.SS 招商银行 CMB
1299.HK 友邦保险 AIA Group Limited
601658.SS 邮储银行 PSBC
+349 more